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Michigan State has lost its past three games against Pac-12 opponents, but it breaks the trend here. You'll get: Updated September 17, 2022 Dont expect Marcus Freeman to lose his first four games as coach of the Fighting Irish, but losing starting quarterback Tyler Buchner to injury will cause even more problems for an offense that ranks 104th in the nation. College Football Expert Picks, Predictions: Week 3 7. They trampled Tennessee Tech in Week 1 before pulling off the extremely rare 13-point overtime victory at West Virginia. That ground game got rolling in the second half against the Gators, though, and I suspect the flood gates will open while the defense tries to pitch its first shutout since 2009. Hurricanes running backs Henry Parrish Jr. and Thaddius Franklin Jr. have combined for 340 yards and seven rushing touchdowns. Toledo is expected to challenge for a Mid-American Conference title, but since 1998, are 0-4 against ranked Big Ten opponents. Sean Clifford and Drew Allar? 1 Alabama (at No. 12 Florida to 29 points. 16 Miami at No. It created an extraordinary weekend and provided more evidence of the potential of an expanded playoff, but the thrill of such unexpected outcomes has unintended consequences. Get his top college football picks now. It also enters Week 3 of the 2021 season on a 67-50 run on all top-rated college football picks. And while NC State quarterback Devin Leary had an uncharacteristically poor performance against ECU, he accounted for six touchdowns last week against Charleston Southern and may have found the mojo necessary to make this a comfortable victory. 20 Ole Miss at Georgia Tech, 3:30 p.m. on ABC. You can only see his picks at SportsLine. The Bears are 8-0 all-time against Texas State, a university that sits roughly 130 miles from the Baylor campus. And to that end, LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels rushed for 114 yards against FSU. Regardless of who is under center, or both, could be in for a big day against a Georgia Tech defense that's allowed 530 passing yards and four touchdowns on the young season. The Buckeyes are expected to have star Jaxon Smith-Njigba (hamstring), but is Marvin Harrison Jr. (12 receptions, 240 yards, three touchdowns) blossoming into the Buckeyes' best receiver? Third-Likeliest: Duquesne at Hawaii, 11:59 p.m. Duquesne got stomped by Florida State in Week 0 and didn't fare much better last week against Youngstown State. section: | slug: college-football-odds-lines-picks-predictions-for-week-3-2021-simulations-back-notre-dame-cincinnati | sport: collegefootball | route: article_single.us | Who picked Appalachian State to win at No. 11 Florida in the 3:30 p.m. South Carolina does have something fun brewing with Spencer Rattler at quarterback. After Oklahoma State's defense got a little careless during that season-opening 58-44 win over Central Michigan, it buckled down during last weekend's 34-17 victory over Arizona State. The Gamecocks have offered no hints that they can slow down the best team in the nation or score on a team that hasnt surrendered a touchdown this season, but South Carolina similarly presented little hope when it covered last seasons 31-point spread and when it upset the Bulldogs as a 24.5-point underdog in 2019. It enters Week 3 of the 2022 college football season on a 50-41 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. This could turn out to be one of the most fun games of the weekend. This is the first meeting between the programs since Purdue's 51-0 rout in 2004. Adding injury to the insult of the Irish's 26-21 home loss to Marshall last weekend, quarterback Tyler Buchner looks to be out for the season with a shoulder injury. Last season, the Auburn at Penn State matchup was an exciting, close battle between the SEC and the Big . The line has bounced all around from its open at -6.5, but it's trending back toward the Ducks. 13 Miami at No. The Wildcats started 2-0 last season, then trailed in the fourth quarter before beating perennial FCS power Chattanooga 28-23 in Week 3. Best college football bonuses If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for some college football betting, here are two. 2 USC in 1981. Backup quarterback Donovan Smith will be ready for another shootout after leading the Red Raiders to a double-overtime win over Houston. That changes this week with the Big Ten opener against Wisconsin looming. Quarterback Tyler Buchner had season-ending shoulder surgery, so Drew Pyne will start at quarterback for Notre Dame. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: collegefootball | pageType: stories | It enters Week 3 of the 2022 college football season on a 50-41 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. However, quarterback Hudson Card (ankle) and star running Bijan Robinson (shoulder) are also ailing. The Bulldogs had solid defensive numbers last season, but above-average offenses more or less had their way with them. But, this time around, the series shifts to Salt Lake City, where Utah has won 27 consecutive games against non-conference opponents. Purdue is coming off a 49-0 blowout win at Connecticut, but the model has highlighted an overreaction in the betting market. College Football College Football Picks: Week 3 Predictions for Every Game Kerry Miller September 14, 2022 BYU's Jaren Hall (Chris Gardner/Getty Images) Week 2 of the 2022 college. The Cougars' schedule is ridiculous. Full T&C apply. Consider this to be one of the more intriguing matchups of Week 3. Florida State at Louisville, 7:30 p.m. Friday on ESPN. The Fighting Irish have been through a pair of tests to open the season, but they have managed a 2-0 record. Experts weigh in with analysis and provide premium picks for upcoming NFL games. The Longhorns fell short of upsetting then-No. coach Lane Kiffin had not named a starter. 7 Utah and a 10-point loss versus then-No. So Year 1 under Sonny Cumbie could be one of the worst in Bulldogs history. Clemson has allowed 22 points through its first two games, but coach Dabo Swinney still expects his defenseto be better than it's shown. This site is not endorsed by, sponsored by, or affiliated with these schools or teams. OK, too soon. CONSENSUS PICK: Florida State, Week 3 College Football Expert Picks College football's Week 3 slate for the 2022 season features 72 games, and our NCAA experts are ready with their predictions and picks. Johnny Rosenstein, SportsBookWire.com: Louisville Making Cade McNamara (13-for-24, 162 yards, one touchdown, one interception) the country's top backup. What we do know is Florida will likely play in many close games in 2022. Prediction: Kentucky 38, Youngstown State 7, No. Even with J.J. McCarthy leading an improved attack, the Wolverines dont deserve the Alabama treatment just yet. - irish 20 spartans 3. The Nittany Lions make their 2022 Top 25 debut, and now have to travel to Auburn. They could return Saturday, but their presence isnt necessary for BYU (+3.5) to topple another conference contender that is looking to find its footing with a new coach and quarterback. College Football Week 3 Lines, September 16. There are still plenty. It's still a high spread, but we'll lean toward the blowout to get back on track. With 26 wins over the past three seasons, Liberty is no slouch. Pick: USC wins 42-27 and COVERS the spread. And they'll have to do it on the road, against an N.C. State program that's won 11 consecutive home contests. USC's offense is getting all the attention with Lincoln Riley, but the defense has created nine turnovers in two games. No. What was overshadowed, however, both by Notre Dame being knocked out of championship contention in September and by Texas A&Ms dreams arriving at deaths door before SEC play was the emergence of a sleeper with a realistic path to the playoff. The Crimson Tides 55-0 rout of Utah State in Week 1 is a taste of whats to come, following the near-upset at Texas last week. Stanford Steve: The White Out is back! 12 BYU at No. Scott Frost's firing at Nebraska adds to the intrigue in the Nebraska-Oklahoma matchup and the Purdue-Syracuse showdown is setting up as one of the more interesting games of the weekend from a . Auburn Tigers at Penn State Nittany Lions (-5, 53) . This will be right on the line, but that's a lot of points. The Jayhawks have already notched one upset this season, taking down West Virginia as 14-point underdogs last week. However, that's almost secondary toBobby Petrino's return to Arkansas, where he was fired following a motorcycle accident that opened the door to more controversy 10 years ago. 6-keys: media/spln/collegefootball/reg/free/stories, By pressing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the. Week 3 of the college football season features two matchups between ranked teams and two rematches from last season that should draw interest. The Utes are the better team on paper and must show it on the field. Against a mighty fine Wolfpack secondary, though, Texas Tech could run into some trouble. 24 Texas A&M, 9 p.m. on ESPN. Before I pick Texas to win comfortably, it's necessary to point out that UTSA quarterback Frank Harris is off to a remarkable start. (23) in the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 11, 2021, in Denver. Since the beginning of 2011, the Bison are 151-12, including 5-0 against FBS opponents. This line opened at 16 points. The Tigers did manage to eke out a three-point win last year despite allowing 371 yards and three touchdowns through the air, and that was a drastic improvement from getting lit up for 623 yards and five touchdowns in the 2020 opener against the Bulldogs. One of Sallee's top college football picks for Week 3: He's backing No. The Crimson Tide hasn't lost a non-conference regular-season game since, and you can expect them to be more focused after the 100 yards in penalties against Texas. Or TJ Finley and Robby Ashford? 14 Utah vs. San Diego State, 10 p.m. on ESPN2. 2 Alabama and No. The 10th-ranked Nittany Lions will try to take care of business against No. No. Sallee has also found two other college football picks he's high on, including a spread he's jumping all over because of an "alarming" stat. not even the tide. Pick: Florida wins 47-24 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. Since October 2017, Connecticut is 1-38 against FBS opponents. Before locking in any college football bets on those games or others, be sure to see the top Week 3 college football expert picks, predictions and best bets from Barrett Sallee. Prediction: Indiana 28, Western Kentucky 24, California at Notre Dame, 2:30 p.m. on NBC. Caleb Williams and Jordan Addison will continue their joint quest for the Heisman. blue whale: let us keep it PAC 12 The latest in the sports world, emailed daily. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. They should move the ball against a USC defense that allowed 33 first downs to a not-offensively-elite Stanford. UCLA put up 37. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: collegefootball | pageType: stories | There were four FCS-over-FBS upsets Saturday alone. Under the direction of quarterback Caleb Williams (39-for-49, 590 passing yards, six touchdowns), the Trojans totaled 107 points versus Rice and Stanford. Ohio State has allowed just one touchdown, and it is going to cause all sorts of problems for whatcredit where it's duehas been a solid running game since 2011. Our predictions for each Week 3 game are broken into four sections: Top 25 teams, best games between unranked teams, FCS against unranked FBS games and the rest of the slate. No. known associate week 3 results: 3-3. 21 Texas vs. UTSA, 8 p.m. on Longhorn Network. Junior quarterback Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 529 yards and five touchdowns, while senior running back Eric Gray is averaging 6.7 yards per carry. The Nittany Lions are 5-5 in their last 10 games, so it's a 50-50 coin flip here. Unless Braxton Burmeister has been saving the game of his life for just this moment, Utah should cruise. 10:43 am ET, see the top Week 3 college football expert picks, predictions and best bets from Barrett Sallee, Visit SportsLine now to see Barrett Sallee's college football best bets, all from one of the top analysts in the nation who has crushed his picks for SportsLine, Alabama hires former Texas, UL coach Strong as analyst, Georgia star Jalen Carter subject of arrest warrant, 23 things to watch during 2023 spring football, Lincoln Riley opens up on Year 2 expectations, Big Ten, CFP committee adds Hall of Fame coach for 2023, Bob Diaco reunites with Brian Kelly at LSU, College football Week 3 expert picks, parlay, best bets, 23 things to watch as spring practices begin, Report: Alabama hires Charlie Strong as analyst, Ex-Georgia star Jalen Carter subject of arrest warrant, Diaco reunites with Kelly, joins LSU staff as analyst, Ex-Tennessee staffers penalized for NCAA violations. 25 Oregon, 3:30 p.m. on Fox. The Vols can pick their score here, but the only question is how soon they will pull off knowing that Florida is on the schedule in Week 4. The under (58.5) is also coming through with some room for error. Prediction: Western Michigan 31, Pittsburgh 27, No. Pick: Georgia wins 37-14 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. Cal, which last started 3-0 in 2019, yielded 27 points in beating UC Davis and UNLV. The offense? Or what about an inspired Ohio State that's allowed 22 points in two games? And after Fresno State allowed just under 400 yards to the Beavers, this looks like business as usual. Despite all that (and the road trip), the Panthers get back on track with a victory. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine. A look at our track record this season after a tough Week 2: That is a large spread on the road, where the Gamecocks have split four games as a home underdog under Shane Beamer. The former Sooner threw for 376 yards against Arkansas. Sallee is a true insider -- a CBS Sports analyst, SiriusXM host, Heisman voter and consistently one of the top CBS Sports experts picking games against the spread -- and his best bets have helped bring in huge returns. Spread Options: College football picks against the spread for Week 3. Purdue at Syracuse | Georgia at South Carolina The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 3 college football schedule, and it's calling for a Top 25 favorite to go down hard. 24 Texas A&M (-6.5) playing host to No. . Cal at Notre Dame | BYU at Oregon Pick: Tennessee wins 56-9 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. Here are five games where there's real betting value to be found. While at Indiana, Penix made two starts against MSU, throwing for 606 yards with one interception and accounting for six touchdowns. The Panthers quarterback suffered an injury late in the first half against Tennessee and did not return. See which other teams the model likes here. The Rockets kept the last meeting close in a 27-22 loss in 2011, but the Buckeyes' offense simply has too many weapons. Anyone who has followed it. Pick: Ole Miss wins 42-20 and COVERS the spread. Cami Griffin, LonghornsWire.com: Florida State SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated every Week 8 game 10,000 times with surprising results It's tough to know what to make of Pitt this week with the health of Kedon Slovis up in the air. Pick: Texas wins 41-24 and COVERS the spread. But I suspect the big question for most people heading into this game in College Station is whether the second-year starter is ready for this moment against this secondary. 15 Michigan State and pulling out a three-point win at Ball State. 12 BYU and No. Florida St at Louisville | Air Force at Wyoming The Week 3 slate begins on Friday night with Florida State . Expert picks, predictions for Penn State vs. Auburn on the Week 3 college football schedule. Pick: Penn State wins 27-23 and COVERS the spread. Under Kirby Smart, Georgia has covered fewer than 38 percent of its games as a favorite of at least 20 points. Is the Spartans secondary actually better than it was last season, though, or do its early numbers just look good because of the competition? State Nittany Lions will try to take care of business against No wins 41-24 and COVERS the spread games Pac-12... Will start at quarterback for Notre Dame, 2:30 p.m. on ESPN Smith. Surgery, so it 's still a high spread, but they managed... Yielded 27 points in beating UC Davis and UNLV yards to the Beavers, looks... Off the extremely rare 13-point overtime victory at West Virginia as 14-point underdogs last Week created nine turnovers two! As 14-point underdogs last Week downs to a not-offensively-elite Stanford, are 0-4 against ranked Ten! ( and the Big perennial FCS power Chattanooga 28-23 in Week 3: He 's backing.! 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